Mets vs Pirates Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 13th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 27-15 this year after they won game one by a score of 4-3 on Monday night. New York trailed 2-1 in the seventh inning, but they ended up blowing a 3-2 lead in the ninth, before scoring in the bottom of the ninth for the win. The Mets recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alonso, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. New York started Peterson, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Brazoban picked up the blown save and the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Cubs, but did lose two out of three against the Cardinals before that. New York has won four of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.85 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 203 runs with a .255 batting average and a .334 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with nine home runs and 36 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added nine home runs and 26 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 4-2 with a 1.16 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this year. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-28 this season after they dropped game one in this series on Monday night. Pittsburgh led 1-0 and 2-1, but they needed a ninth-inning rally to tie the game, before losing on a walk-off sac fly. The Pirates recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hayes, Reynolds, and Kiner-Falefa, who all had one RBI in the loss. Pittsburgh started Skenes, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Bednar picked up the loss in the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Braves, but did lose all three against the Cardinals before that. Pittsburgh has lost nine of its last eleven games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 130 runs with a .220 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with eight home runs and 18 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added five home runs and 20 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 1-4 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 45.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Pirates

• The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Pirates and Mets.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last six road games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday home games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in 11 of their last 12 games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Pirates will beat the Mets

• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Pirates’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Pirates and Mets.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 home appearances.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances with the Mets against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has scored a run in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against the Pirates.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Kodai Senga ranks T10th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six road games against the Mets.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
• Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Mitch Keller has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank T1st in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.85).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (130).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (127).

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Mets vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh wasn’t able to carry the momentum from the series win against the Braves into this series, as they lost game one on Monday night. The Pirates are 5-15 on the road this year, while the Mets are 16-4 at home. New York is currently leading the NL East standings, and they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Mets are starting Senga, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last three innings. The Pirates are going with Keller, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. I really like how Senga is pitching this season, and I think the Mets will roll to an easy win. Take New York -1.5 in this contest.